The biggest problems in New York City real estate
Following criticism, Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has vowed to crack down on shoddy construction and is instituting greater scrutiny of developers who break the rules. He is also trying to speed up the new condo approval process, and has introduced reforms targeting the appraisal industry.
In the wake of the subprime and credit crises, problems are
becoming apparent even in New York City's usually buoyant real estate
market. Although real estate in New York City has escaped some of the
ravages the rest of the country has suffered, cracks in the façade are
starting to show.
For this supplement, The Real Deal
has chosen to bring some plaster: First, we home in on macro
difficulties, as well as some less-discussed problems. We then weigh in
with the advice of experts on ways to solve these issues.
We take a look at the
problem of the liquidity crisis. In the article Crisis or Correction, financial whizzes
contemplate how they think the financial markets can ultimately return
to a state of normalcy. For example, experts say the only way for the
broader housing market to recover is by restoring confidence in
lenders' processes to securitize their mortgages.
At the heart of the
matter is the role of independent appraisers. Without appraisers
capable of standing up to pressure from mortgage brokers to price
unrealistically, it will be hard to restore confidence. Insiders
consider how to make this happen in Restoring credibility to appraisers.
Besides impacting banks
and their ability to make informed investments, the present crisis is
triggering fear among homeowners that they may lose their homes. In How New Yorkers spell foreclosure relief, we probe what's being done to control the growing number of
foreclosures — and experts share their views on whether the present
actions are sufficient.
In addition to these
sweeping problems, the city's real estate industry is facing some more
local conundrums. One lingering difficulty is the manner in which
different real estate firms arrive at different outcomes in their
market reports. In Making sense of market reports, analysts reflect on whether the city needs
a comparison-providing multiple listing service. Another growing
difficulty emanates from spiraling energy costs, and the responses of
commercial landlords to those costs. When it comes to energy costs, landlords over a barrel shows that
many are turning to alternative energy sources and long-term fixed
contracts as solutions.
Finally, no problem has had a more tragic impact and received more
recent coverage than accidents at construction sites stemming from
crane malfunctions. In Shoring up construction safety, we review suggestions for reforming
the city's Department of Buildings and creating a culture of safety and
accountability.
Two other stories discuss the mysterious flexibility of offices' floor area over time and the new wave of scrutiny shoddy developers could soon see from the Attorney General's office and the Department of Buildings.
Comments
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Anonymous
For some bizarre reason, you missed the biggest problem of all: prices are falling, Wall Street are being lost by the thousands. It's getting worse and it's getting worse quickly. Gee, I'm kind of thinking that might have something to do with it.
Comment #1 Posted By: Anonymous 07/10/08
Anonymous
I agree with #0 - the article isn't addressing some of the biggest problems. Clearly, in Manhattan sales are falling at double digit rates and inventories are going through the roof. That can only mean that prices have to fall much further.
Comment #2 Posted By: Anonymous 07/14/08
Anonymous
Actually, either median nor average prices are falling according to reports. However, that is due to a factor often ignored. It's well known that the upper bracket is still buying apartments for 10 mill USD and more, increasing the average and median. However, the fact that the bulk of the sales in 1-3 mill USD are declining, the average/median increase accelerates. So, average/median price increases are actually a sign of decreasing sales activities (in the lower bracket) and that prices have to come way down.
Comment #3 Posted By: Anonymous 07/14/08
421A Victim
It may not be at the top of the list, but has anyone experienced the frustrating and unprofesional process at the 421A office in HPD. I have found them to be uncommunicative, unhelpful, and rude. Their new "on-line" system was supposed to speed up the horribly slow pace of application approval, but instead it has generated ridiculous requests for irrelevant info.
Am I alone here, or has anyone else been through the same mess?
Comment #4 Posted By: 421A Victim 07/20/08
Anonymous
Appraisals never were - and certainly are not now - the issue.
Apopraisal standards were raised considerably after the S&L crisis, which was, in large part, caused by lax, if not corrupt, appraisal practices.
Those standards were easy to meet this time around because of the huge amount of house sales that became the "comps" for the subject properties being appraised; and those, in turn, became the the comps for the next crop of appraisals. With such a large, continuous, and current database of comps, there was really no problem meeting the strictest of appraisal standards. The real problem with appraisals will occur henceforth, when there aren't enough like sales to generate valid comps. Indeed, this problem will be exacerbated by falling prices, and politicians looking to "fix" appraisal standards.
No, the real "heart of the matter" is that the fault for this mess lies with the greedy pig bastards of Wall Street who, in their unbridled and insatiable greed, corrupted most of the rest of the process, and may have come close to breaking the system itself.
Comment #5 Posted By: Anonymous 07/22/08
Anonymous
The biggest issue in Manhattan real estate and elsewhere is that banks have no cash. There are plenty of well heeled byuers who still desire to invest in Manhattan real estate, but we keep hearing about banks showing up at closings without the money to fund the purchase of a property. The remedy here is good ol' fashioned portfolio lending. #2 you should get your hands on the latest Miller Samuel sales report which demonstrates that price are relatively flat. Miller Samuel was careful to exclude 15 CPW and the Plaza from it's sales data so that the effect of these ultra expensive condo's wouldn't skew the numbers. #3 I couldn't agree with you more.
Comment #6 Posted By: Anonymous 07/23/08
Anonymous
WELL I agree with the comment preceding mine. BANKS. Plain and simple, the bank lending market is not what it used to be and now Manhattan Real Estate of course is suffering. Lenders are skeptical, rates a bit higher and now, coops are higher risks. As for the "wall street" reference, I think the economy is obviously all interconnected, it is a chain reaction.
Comment #7 Posted By: Anonymous 08/06/08
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